Monday, April 27, 2009

What if You Sit Next to Ellen Tauscher on a Plane?

Or Rose Gottemoeller, Gary Samore, Ivo Daalder, Valery Churkin, Mohamed ElBaradei, or Sergei Ordjonikidze? You would want to lobby them, wouldn’t you? But would you know what to say?

Lucky you. I will suggest a line of conversation about nuclear disarmament with each of these powerful people.

First, Ellen Tauscher. She used to be a California congresswoman but is becoming Obama’s Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and International Security. She will participate in the National Security Council, advising the president on arms control, nonproliferation, and disarmament.

I suggest that you offer her the peanuts that the flight attendant gave you (pretend you are too allergic to eat them) and say,

“Congratulations on your appointment, Ms. Tauscher. I wonder whether you have read the Draft Nuclear Weapons Convention that has been proposed by ICAN, the organization sponsored by IPPNW? It would prohibit the development, testing, production, stockpiling, transfer, use, and threat of use of nuclear weapons, as well as the production of fissile material suitable for making them. It would require all nuclear armed countries to destroy their nuclear weapons in stages. The last stage would place all fissile material under international control to prevent nuclear weapons ever being made again. I’d be glad to send you a copy of that document.”

After that, you’re on your own.

Second, suppose you meet Rose Gottemueller. She’s an expert on US Russian relations who worked as Director of the Carnegie Moscow Center until recently. Now she is becoming Assistant Secretary of State for Verification and Compliance. You might do well to discuss with her the question of Iran’s compliance with the NPT. Say,

“Ms. Gottemoeller, I imagine that Iran is your worst headache at the moment. May I offer you an Anacin? And while we’re on the subject, of nuclear compliance permit me to endorse the approach that President Obama is taking. Evidently Iran is not complying with the Non-Proliferation Treaty and has not even signed the Additional Protocol, which would allow the IAEA inspectors to make unannounced visits. Nevertheless, the best approach at the moment seems to be to try and rebuild the tone of the relationship between Iran and the international community. If the hostility can be mitigated, perhaps there can be a new arrangement that will recognize Iran’s security interests. In the longer term, of course, we would hope to establish a new situation with all countries, not just Iran, would put all highly enriched uranium or plutonium under international control. ”

Okay, that should get you started.

Third, let’s suppose you sit next to Gary Samore. He was an arms control negotiator in the Clinton Administration. Now he is the new White House “czar” for preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction and terrorism. Probably he will work closely with Vice President Biden, who is supposed to shepherd the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty through Congress. You might say something like this,

“Mr. Samore, the turbulence this plane is going through is probably nothing in comparison to the turbulence you experience every day on the job. I take my hat off to you sir, and wish you every success with your work. It’s a pity that the CTBT never entered into force, but I suppose it will, now that President Obama is supporting it to firmly. And it is thrilling that you and Ms. Gottemoeller have been asked to start immediately to negotiate a treaty with Russia that will replace START in December. I hope the new treaty will reduce the number of deployed nuclear weapons on both sides to 1,000 or even lower. Mr. Obama has committed to retain his deterrent capacity until all the nuclear weapons in the world are finally disarmed together. If deterrence is a major issue, you could probably even reduce the American weapons well below 1,000 if those are kept on ships at sea. That way, any potential enemy could not find them and destroy them with a surprise first strike,”

Certainly this opener should be sufficient to get you off onto a lively conversation.

Fourth, suppose your neighbor on the plane is Ivo Daalder. What would you say? This one is easy.

“Hello, Ambassador Daalder. I see that you are being appointed as the American Ambassador to NATO. Congratulations. Well, sir, I live in a country that is also a member of NATO, and I have a suggestion to make. The Canadian Pugwash Group has been lobbying various members of NATO, suggesting that they require that nuclear weapons be removed from their soil. Probably a year or two ago the United States would have become very angry about any such idea, but now it might work to your advantage. If you could privately indicate to Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Turkey that you wouldn’t mind their demanding the removal of nuclear weapons, some or all of them would probably be happy to do so. That would cause a lot of publicity and make people aware of the current nuclear threat posture,. I think it would strengthen public opposition to nuclear weapons.”

Fifth, suppose you meet Valery Churkin on a plane. Here’s what you should say,

“Ambassador Churkin, it is a pleasure to know that you are representing Russia in the United Nations. You certainly have a long history of contact with Western societies, and I’m sure you have a deep grasp of Russian and American nuclear weapons policies. It was good to read the joint statement of President Medvedev and President Obama recently. They said they have agreed to achieve a nuclear free world in the long run. That’s a wonderful goal. And we can expect to see a new treaty of Strategic Arms Reductions by summer. I want to express my agreement with you on the subject of missile defence. The American plan to deploy missile defence installations in Europe is probably unnecessary and understandably the Russian government opposes it. On the other hand, President Obama is deliberately taking a slow route to making any final decision on this matter. There is probably enough time for Russia to develop a more cooperative relationship with America on such matters of mutual concern in Iran and Pakistan. If you succeed in doing that, probably the missile defences will never be installed. I hope that’s what you plan to do.”

Sixth, let us suppose that you happen to meet Mohamed ElBaradei on a plane. You may recognize him right away, since he is often seen on TV. He is the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency and as a Nobel Peace Prize laureate is probably recognized in public many times each day. You might begin by offering him your copy of the International Herald Tribune. Then say,

“Dr. ElBaradei, I have read the speech you delivered recently in Beijing at the Ministerial Conference on Nuclear Energy. Personally, I still wish that the IAEA did not have to promote nuclear energy. With commitment, we could shift over to alternative sources of fuel soon enough. However, I realize that your job requires you to endorse the expansion of nuclear power plants in many new countries, and probably you believe in that, so the real question is, how can access to fissile material be eliminated for would-be weapons makers? I like your proposal for a fuel bank to be managed by the IAEA. Moreover, you said that you want the entire fuel cycle, including the disposal of wastes, to be managed multinationally. That is an excellent idea. And I also support your near-term goal of implementing the additional protocol to the comprehensive safeguards agreements, so the Agency can verify that no undeclared nuclear activities are taking place. Certainly, global nuclear security standards should be made binding, rather than voluntary as at present.”

Seventh and finally, let us suppose you meet Sergei Ordjonikidze on a plane. He is the UN Deputy Secretary General. He runs the UN’s Geneva office, which is where the Conference on Disarmament meets. You could say something like this,

“Mr. Director General, I see we are both drinking red wine. It is so-so but not nearly as good as the excellent wine from your homeland. I wish we could buy Georgian wine in Ontario’s LCBO. Now, as to the agenda of the CD, I am encouraged by the commitment of Presidents Medvedev and Obama. There seems to be new hope for the CD to accomplish a fissile material cutoff treaty. After all, this was agreed as one of the 13 practical steps toward disarmament at the 2000 NPT Review Conference. President Bush had opposed it, arguing that it would not be verifiable, but there is no scientific basis for that opinion. I hope that President Obama’s team will move forward with it. Let me toast the success of the CD with this mediocre, non-Georgian wine.”

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Friday, October 26, 2007

The Issues in Ottawa


Two or three times a year I come to – usually for a conference. But the encounters always inform me about more than the topic of my visit. Last time it was an annual meeting of the Group of 78, and besides listening to Flora McDonald, we revised the group’s obsolete mission statement to reflect its current commitments. During that meeting, the monks were marching in Rangoon – or perhaps they had already been crushed, though it did not yet seem decisive. My agenda was to evoke new ideas about how to help them win. What I was not prepared for was the widespread attitude of skepticism about the value of – especially since I had just been chanting with my friends in demonstrations, “What do we want? Democracy! When do we want it? Now!” To my Canadian friends this word carried some kind of negative connotation, as if the only persons calling for democracy were right-wing ideologues. I spoke up, proclaiming my own appreciation of democracy, but then I put the idea aside when I returned home. There were too many other pressing matters to handle. I needed to priorize my concerns.

Now I am on the train again, returning to Toronto after another three day adventure in Ottawa. This trip was rather more enjoyable and pretty interesting. On the train from Toronto my seatmate was a First Nations woman of 46 with a long braid,. She was reading a thick book that I took to be scholarly, but later determined was a collection of stories about fairies – little people, in which she believes. She is a researcher, nowadays studying the use of programs for youthful offenders. Apparently the problem is that such services are not significantly available, either on reserves and rural areas or in cities. Those that do exist actually work well.

I asked her about such programs for adult offenders. People who perpetrate very serious crimes are not eligible for them, since they are mostly sentenced to maximum security prisons. The treatment includes a period of living in the bush, finding their own food and undergoing spiritual trainings with elders. The process reduces recidivism somewhat and – what is more dramatic – changes those who offend again into a less aggressive mode. If they had initially assaulted someone, the next offence night be, say, a theft. But they don’t get a second chance anyhow. The second offence will be met with the regular punishments prescribed by Canadian law.

Another fascinating detail: There are some aboriginal communities where is very common – up to 98 percent prevalence, In one place called Hollow Water the children took over and demanded change, There was a movement throughout the community to change this situation, and it worked. Now sex abuse frequencies are down to perhaps two or three percent. The psychology behind it is not the same as with many pedophiles elsewhere. It is a form of aggression, not sexual longing. The adults all went through a healing process where they acknowledged that what they were doing was wrong. I wonder whether that kind of transformation is possible for other pedophiles elsewhere. Pedophilia is considered almost intractable.

My seatmate shared her life story with me in some detail. She had been taken from her mother at birth, then kept in an institution for six months, then adopted by a British family who treated her very differently from their own children and from the two blond children they adopted. She started running away from home at age eight. Now she has reconciled with her adoptive parents but not those blond siblings. She and her biological siblings and grandmother have found each other. She says that the pathologies of aboriginal life in Canada basically began when the children were taken away from their parents – not just because the were harmful to the kids, but because in the communities the adults fell into despair when their children were taken away. That makes sense, though I never heard anyone say that before.

She spoke on the phone with her boyfriend, who also works in a government organization for Indians. They discussed what she called ‘Indianland” – the political goings on in the bureaucracies that are supposed to uplift aboriginal people. Listening to her concern about what kinds of projects are funded and which ones are not, I began to recall the theory of some sociologist, whose name I cannot recall, that the administration of justice and the supervision of difficult individuals becomes a permanent job, an entitlement, a role that one wishes to “own.” In a way, the officers acquire an interest in perpetuating the dependency of those whom they are helping. Then I felt a little guilty for allowing this right-wing thought to enter my mind. Still, I must admit that it has taken root here.

I stayed in a new bed and breakfast place on Besserer Street, near Heartwood House, where the meeting was held of CNANW – Canadian Network to Abolish Nuclear Weapons. I was representing Science for Peace. There were only ten or so of us present—mostly aging women. It was my first time in the group, though I did know almost everyone there. We heard presentations from a new fellow from DFAIT, who had only recently been shuffled into the job that David Da Silva had occupied this summer. He couldn’t answer many of the sophisticated questions posed by the group. Then in the afternoon we heard more congenial speakers – and (see photo), who was upbeat. He is a New Zealander of about 40 who spends about half his time in New York or Geneva, working on nuclear weap0ons issues.

Doug was discouraged, as usual, about the sharp turn toward militarism by the Harper government. As with most committed activists, he ended his speech by reflecting on the poor level of public awareness. Again, there was talk about how hard it is to stir up citizens. I said something about using TV dramas, and it seems to have awakened everyone there. They all supported what I was saying, which has come to be rather a common reaction lately.

At the end of the day we all took taxis up to Parliament Hill to help Alyn Ware launch his new organization, . It’s an international campaign against nuclear weapons, sponsored primarily by the physicians movement. Taxis are not supposed to be able to drive right to the door of the parliament buildings, except for MPs and Senators themselves. However, pulled rank, telling the guard that she is Peter Mackay’s mother. He let us through. Then, inside the building, she led me up to the office of her son, formerly the Foreign Minister and now the Minister of Defence. I was searching for a copy of the Hill Times, which I knew carried an article I had written about the Department of Peace idea. Peter’s legislative assistant gave us both copies of the paper. I had wondered whether they had changed anything beyond the title, but apparently not.

There was a two-hour long reception, attended by a fair number of parliamentarians. Setsuko Thurlow gave a talk about being a 13-year-old girl in Hiroshima when the bomb went off. She was in town to receive an Order of Canada ceremony today. I talked with Kim Kroeber, ’s administrative assistant, who is beautiful, effusive, and well-informed. I’m to contact her about Dallaire’s work for child soldiers and about a film on the subject. I spoke briefly with Jack Layton too, pointing out my article, which he said he would read. The Hill Times is delivered to each MP’s office, but is not widely available throughout the city except in a few magazine stores. It’s all about political issues. (Actually, I guess The Hill Times is available more widely than I just wrote; the fellow across from me on the train is reading it now.)

After dinner I was going to leave with Nancy Covington, the president of Physicians Global Survival, and Debbie Grisdale. was still there, perhaps because she had hosted the party, and we asked her where we could go for dinner nearby. She immediately invited us to join her in the parliamentary dining room. What a treat! I didn’t realize we were her guests, but it was an interesting conversation and a fine dinner (tortierre is French Canada’s great culinary invention).

Alexa is no longer NDP leader, of course, and no longer foreign affairs critic either, She has happily turned that role over to Paul Dewer, a new MP and the son of Marion Dewer, formerly mayor of Ottawa.. Now Alexa is in charge of development issues. She had just been to Honduras, so we talked about the Canadian mining companies there and how the government of Honduras is beginning to tell such companies that they may not come in, since the Hondurans don’t get any benefits from their activities. I am supposed to talk to Paul Dewer about SEMA, the international agreements that keep Canada from being able to discipline corporations that have destructive impacts on Third World countries. Dewer had been present at the reception and at the Group of 78 meeting last month, but I didn’t talk to him about these matters. I wanted to know the status of the legal situation so I can write about it I do intend to phone him.

At dinner we talked about two other issues: the exclusion of Americans from Canada on the basis of a list of criminals kept by the US government, and the fact that “democracy” has become a concept that only the right-wingers want to use.

Alexa had been out at the airport for several hours that afternoon, trying to meet Ann Wright, a former US Army Colonel who had quit the army in protest against the Iraq War and who was invited to speak in Ottawa. It seems that this woman was on a list of dangerous persons and therefore the Canadian immigration authorities would not let her in. They also refused to tell Alexa whether she was present in the interrogation room or not, giving “privacy” as their grounds, although Wright had specifically told them that she was waiving her right to privacy and wanted Alexa to be informed that she had arrived. The immigration officer promised to tell Alexa, but did not. Then he told Ann that he had told Alexa – a barefaced lie. She was deported.

Later I found out that the woman did have a criminal record for having demonstrated on the White House grounds, contrary to the law. To me, that slightly offset my mounting objections. I think that demonstrating on the White House grounds can be properly considered illegal. Surely there must be other places where one can demonstrate, just a little distance away. Still, it seems weak of the Canadian government just to accept whatever the US says about a person seeking admission to the country. There is apparently no way to find out whether one is on that list except to try to enter Canada and find out what they say. And they don’t always give the same answer. Some people get in on one occasion but not on other occasions.

The conversation turned to democracy again, with a peculiar result. At first Alexa sounded surprised that there are people who don’t like to use the word democracy,. She had been present at the Group- of 78 meeting last month, but had not heard the objections to the use of the term in the new version of the mission statement. She wondered what people want if not democracy and I had a hard time answering her, since it puzzles me too. But then she recalled a dispute that had arisen in the Foreign Affairs committee of parliament (I think that’s what she referred to) between the Conservatives and the left-leaning people. The Conservatives had gone along with the extremely reactionary policies of some organization that promotes democracy. Suddenly she declared that she didn’t like the notion of “promoting democracy.” Apparently she thinks that many countries – notably in Eastern Europe – have had democracy imposed on them by the Bush administration.

This conversation took place quite late, when we were the last diners in the restaurant, so I didn’t want to prolong it. I wish I’d had sufficient time to contest her assumptions that countries had become democratic under duress. Iraq, yes. But there’s a huge difference between fighting a war against a country in the name of democracy and, on the other hand, supporting a democratic opposition movement such as in Burma. She pointed out that the US itself is not democratic, but I said I’d certainly rather live there than in Burma or North Korea. Democracy is nowhere perfect, but always an excellent ideal to pursue. I hope I can get down to work writing that up in an op ed piece this week.

Today we met in Heartwood House again. The main attraction to me was a talk by Gordon Edwards, I’ve heard about him for thirty years but never heard him speak before. I learned a lot about the nuclear fuel cycle.

The group also had another conversation about the importance of cultivating contacts with the media. I said I have trouble getting published in newspapers, and couldn’t get CBC's Ideas show to accept the proposal by Sergei Plekhanov and me to do a series on nuclear weapons. They suggested that I submit it again and ask Romeo Dallaire to write a letter recommending it. That’s a good idea. They also said they want someone to take special responsibility for cultivating some media contacts. Ann Gertler suggested that every one of us should make friends with at least one person in the press. Someone mentioned Olivia Ward, who in fact did write a profile of me for the Star; I can easily contact her again. I promised to do so, since some of the other organizations have wanted me to do it and I can handle them all at once, if I can do the job at all. I can call Olivia up. I said I will take on the job if someone else will join me, and Macha Mackay offered to do so. We’ll plan an approach by telephone. Maybe she can call a former assistant of mine who lives in Halifax and works for CBC.

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